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Statistics Foundation · Lesson 4.3

Hypothesis testing framework.

Hypothesis testing is a structured way to judge whether observed data are surprising under a baseline assumption. This lesson develops null and alternative hypotheses, test statistics, null distributions, p-values, rejection regions and careful interpretation.

140 minutes
No coding
Null distributions
P-value logic

Lesson route

Build the testing framework step by step.

Confidence intervals asked which parameter values are plausible. Hypothesis testing starts with a specific parameter value and asks whether the observed data are unusually far from it.

0–15 min

Why hypothesis testing is needed

Understand hypothesis testing as a formal way to judge whether observed data are surprising under a baseline assumption.

15–35 min

Null and alternative hypotheses

Learn how H₀ represents the baseline claim and H₁ represents the direction or type of evidence being investigated.

35–60 min

Test statistics

Study how an estimate is standardised by its standard error to measure distance from the null value.

60–85 min

Null distributions

Understand the probability distribution of the test statistic if the null hypothesis were true.

85–110 min

P-values and rejection regions

Connect extremeness, tail areas, p-values and significance-level decision rules.

110–140 min

Statistical decisions

Learn how to reject or not reject H₀ while avoiding overclaiming, causation mistakes and practical-importance errors.

Mastery checklist

Students should understand tests as evidence against a null model.

1

State null and alternative hypotheses correctly.

2

Distinguish one-sided and two-sided tests.

3

Compute a standardised test statistic.

4

Explain the null distribution.

5

Interpret a p-value correctly.

6

Use a significance-level decision rule.

7

Explain reject versus fail to reject.

8

Separate statistical significance from practical importance.