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Statistics Foundation · Lesson 5.1

Correlation and simple relationships.

Regression begins with relationships between variables. This lesson develops scatterplots, direction, strength, Pearson correlation, nonlinear patterns, outliers and the crucial distinction between association and causation.

145 minutes
No coding
Scatterplots
Association vs causation

Lesson route

Move from visual association to careful interpretation.

This lesson prepares students for regression by showing how relationships appear in data, how correlation summarises linear association and why causal claims require more than a numerical relationship.

0–15 min

Relationships between variables

Understand what it means for two quantitative variables to move together.

15–35 min

Scatterplots

Learn how scatterplots reveal direction, form, strength, clusters and unusual points.

35–60 min

Correlation

Study correlation as a numerical measure of linear association.

60–85 min

Interpreting r

Understand sign, magnitude, units, limitations and common mistakes.

85–115 min

Outliers and nonlinearity

Explore how correlation can be distorted by unusual points and can miss curved relationships.

115–145 min

Association versus causation

Separate statistical association from causal explanation, confounding and study design.

Mastery checklist

Students should reason beyond the number.

1

Describe positive, negative and weak associations.

2

Read scatterplots for form, direction, strength and outliers.

3

Define Pearson correlation.

4

Interpret the sign and magnitude of r.

5

Explain why r is unit-free.

6

Recognise nonlinear relationships.

7

Explain how outliers can affect correlation.

8

Separate association from causation.